Comparison of Expert Judgement Methods Used for Modernization Decision : The Case of MIG-29

This research analyzes two approaches to the economic evaluation of an aircraft modernization program. The Analytic Science Corporation (TASC) method is compared with the Logical Decision for Window (LDW) methodology. TASCFORM-AIR model is a method to quantitatively measure military force modernization. Logical Decisions for Windows software and methodology is based on Multiattribute Utility Theory. It also helps to evaluate decisions quantitatively. The research includes analysis of the reasons, constraints and tendencies in the modern aircraft modernization process. Weapon modernization is usually driven by several objectives, all of them in one way or an another are pertinent to resource allocation. Reliable analytical tools are important to make good decision. Cost- effectiveness and cost utility approaches are evaluated. Comparison of both methodologies is based on the MiG-29 modernization situational model. TASCFORM-AIR Model provides static indicators of military force potential. This can be viewed as measures of effectiveness. The LDW program computes the alternatives' utility by combining its measure levels based on the analyst's preferences. The results produced in both cases are useful in several ways.Naval Postgraduate School Monterey CA is the author of 'Comparison of Expert Judgement Methods Used for Modernization Decision : The Case of MIG-29', published 2000 under ISBN 9781423535485 and ISBN 1423535480.